There are two obvious possibilities for the upcoming coaching carousel. Both Lions coordinator Ben Johnson and former Titans head coach Mike Vrabel will have opportunities. If they decide to take them. Most expect Johnson to leave Detroit. There is a risk that will not happen. Some people who know Johnson don’t believe he’s ready to go this year or ever. He enjoys being an offensive mad scientist, while head coach Dan Campbell deals with the far more difficult and unpredictable aspects of managing a complete squad.
Everyone on the outside understands that there is no assurance that coordinators will succeed as head coaches. Johnson appears to be self-aware enough to recognize that being the offensive coordinator of a juggernaut is considerably superior to being the head coach of a losing squad.
Most coordinators whose names appear on the “A” list are understandably concerned that the window will close just as quickly as it opened. For Johnson, who is largely considered as one of football’s best offensive thinkers, the window will most certainly remain open for at least a few cycles. He can wait if he wants. For the ideal scenario. From ownership to supporting cast, money, and the ability to create the team anyway he sees fit. (For example, Jacksonville has a chance to sign him if they want to. However, he may not want the existing General Manager to set the table with players.
Most head coach positions become vacant for a cause. And it’s usually not a pleasant one. Many coordinators who missed their first (and sometimes only) chance to become head coaches later regret their decision. Johnson seems to have learned from others’ mistakes. Last year, he turned on an opportunity to stay with the Lions after the Commanders and Seahawks expressed interest. While it was alleged (without context) that his asking price drove some teams away, it was never disclosed.
Maybe he deserves whatever he wants. Perhaps he is worth more this year than he was last year. One significant factor could be whether they complete the project in Detroit this year. If they fail again, will Johnson be more likely to stay? For now, the bottom line is this. Don’t assume Ben Johnson will depart the Lions. He might, but it’s not as certain as many people believe.